Lucas Paquetá
In 25/26, Lucas Paquetá has hit 1+ shot on target in 44% of his 18 Premier League appearances (8 of 18), 1+ total shot in 83%, 1+ foul committed in 89%, and 1+ foul won in 89%. He has been booked in 33% (6 of 18). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Lucas Paquetá featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest6 Jan | 63 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Brighton30 Dec | 83 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Fulham27 Dec | 82 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Man City20 Dec | 78 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Aston Villa14 Dec | 89 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Brighton7 Dec | 82 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Liverpool30 Nov | 84 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Burnley8 Nov | 83 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Newcastle2 Nov | 90 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| @ Leeds24 Oct | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Frequently asked
How often does Lucas Paquetá have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Lucas Paquetá has hit 1+ shot on target in 44% of his 18 Premier League appearances (8 of 18). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Lucas Paquetá average?
Across 18 Premier League appearances in 25/26, Lucas Paquetá is averaging 0.65 shots on target and 1.36 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Lucas Paquetá get booked?
Lucas Paquetá is averaging 0.41 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Lucas Paquetá commit or win more fouls?
This season Lucas Paquetá commits 1.66 fouls per 90 and wins 1.78 — fewer than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lucas Paquetá?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Lucas Paquetá plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.