Lucas Pires
Wing-back 60% of 15 recent starts BurnleyPremier League 25/26
Also in: La LigaChampionship
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League wing-back, 25/26, 312 appearances
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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Lucas Pires has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 10%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Lucas Pires in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 61 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas PiresBurnley | 20 | 1.02 | 0.96 |
| Diogo DalotManchester United | 34 | 0.83 | 0.86 |
| Lucas DigneParis Saint-Germain | 31 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| Timothy CastagneFulham | 30 | 0.67 | 0.87 |
| Nicolò SavonaNottingham Forest | 14 | 0.44 | 1.05 |
| Malo GustoChelsea | 34 | 0.48 | 0.79 |
| These 5, combined | 0.64 | 0.83 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Lucas Pires featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves24 May | 90 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Arsenal18 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Aston Villa10 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Leeds1 May | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brighton11 Apr | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bournemouth14 Mar | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Everton3 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brentford28 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Chelsea21 Feb | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| West Ham7 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Lucas Pires have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Lucas Pires has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Lucas Pires average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Lucas Pires is averaging 0.43 shots on target and 0.85 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Lucas Pires get booked?
Lucas Pires is averaging 0.14 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Lucas Pires commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Lucas Pires commits 0.85 fouls per 90 and wins 0.14 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lucas Pires?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lucas Pires plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.