What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League forward, 25/26, 2,530 appearances
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Picked from 304 selections across 78 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Luís Guilherme has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 0%, 1+ foul won in 10%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wingers
Luís Guilherme has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Primeira Liga 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League wingers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luís GuilhermeSporting CPPrimeira Liga | 13 | 1.70 | 0.57 |
| Harvey BarnesNewcastle United | 6 | 1.84 | 0.83 |
| RayanBournemouth | 6 | 2.39 | 0.17 |
| Matheus CunhaManchester United | 6 | 2.53 | 1.26 |
| Antoine SemenyoManchester City | 6 | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| John McGinnAston Villa | 6 | 1.20 | 1.37 |
| These 5, combined | 1.85 | 1.03 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Luís Guilherme featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool30 Nov | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Bournemouth22 Nov | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Everton29 Sep | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Crystal Palace20 Sep | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tottenham13 Sep | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nottingham Forest18 May | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Southampton19 Apr | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Liverpool13 Apr | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bournemouth5 Apr | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Wolves1 Apr | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Luís Guilherme have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Luís Guilherme has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Luís Guilherme average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Luís Guilherme is averaging 0.41 shots on target and 1.66 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Luís Guilherme get booked?
Luís Guilherme is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Luís Guilherme commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Luís Guilherme commits 0.00 fouls per 90 and wins 0.83 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luís Guilherme?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Luís Guilherme plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.