What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Primeira Liga forward, 25/26, 2,890 appearances
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Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Luís Guilherme has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 10%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wingers
The closest 5 profiles to Luís Guilherme in Primeira Liga, 25/26 — drawn from 9 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luís GuilhermeSporting CP | 13 | 1.70 | 0.57 |
| Geovany QuendaChelsea | 20 | 1.74 | 0.51 |
| Geny CatamoSporting CP | 29 | 2.25 | 0.83 |
| Andreas SchjelderupBenfica | 28 | 2.44 | 1.30 |
| Borja SainzFC Porto | 30 | 2.86 | 1.85 |
| Gil DiasFamalicão | 33 | 1.90 | 1.54 |
| These 5, combined | 2.25 | 1.29 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Luís Guilherme featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Famalicão13 Sep | 64 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| CD Nacional5 Sep | 23 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Rio Ave28 Aug | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| FC Alverca22 Aug | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Vitória SC14 Aug | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ CF Estrela Amadora8 Aug | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Gil Vicente16 May | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Rio Ave11 May | 64 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Vitória SC4 May | 45 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Tondela29 Apr | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Luís Guilherme have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Luís Guilherme has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Luís Guilherme average?
Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Luís Guilherme is averaging 1.16 shots on target and 2.32 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Luís Guilherme get booked?
Luís Guilherme is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Luís Guilherme commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Luís Guilherme commits 0.29 fouls per 90 and wins 1.45 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luís Guilherme?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Luís Guilherme plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.