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Primeira Liga 26/27
MA

Maximiliano Araújo

Midfielder Sporting CPPrimeira Liga 26/27

Next match
Sporting CP vs Académico Viseu FC›
Sun 25 Oct
Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Primeira Liga midfielder, 25/26, 2,874 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.43 per 90
40%
4 of 102.2×
Total shots0.87 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
Fouls won1.73 per 90
70%
7 of 101.3×
Fouls committed1.08 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.6×
Tackles1.95 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 101.2×
Goals0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 103.2×
form only
Assists0.33 per 90
30%
3 of 105.2×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Maximiliano Araújo has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 90%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Maximiliano Araújo in Primeira Liga, 25/26 — drawn from 11 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Maximiliano AraújoSporting CP 291.59 1.83
Alexander BahBenfica 91.49 1.67
Alberto CostaFC Porto 290.97 2.42
Georgios VagiannidisSporting CP 220.63 1.74
Amar DedićNewcastle United 240.71 0.80
Iván FresnedaSporting CP 230.50 1.12
These 5, combined 0.78 1.57

Recent matches

The last 10 games Maximiliano Araújo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Sporting Braga9 Oct 32 0 1 1 1 1 0
FC Arouca19 Sep 90 0 1 1 2 2 1
@ Famalicão13 Sep 90 0 0 0 5 1 0
CD Nacional5 Sep 78 1 2 1 2 0 1
@ Rio Ave28 Aug 90 1 1 1 0 0 0
FC Alverca22 Aug 90 1 1 1 2 1 0
Vitória SC14 Aug 90 0 0 2 2 2 0
Gil Vicente16 May 90 0 1 1 2 7 0
@ Rio Ave11 May 90 0 0 1 0 0 0
Vitória SC4 May 90 1 1 1 0 4 0
Officials on record
Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo 8 games Maximiliano Araújo booked in 2 5.60cards/game 1.08×vs league
Luís Godinho 7 games Maximiliano Araújo booked in 2 5.39cards/game 1.04×vs league
Miguel Nogueira 6 games Maximiliano Araújo booked in 4 4.47cards/game 0.86×vs league
Antonio Nobre 6 games Maximiliano Araújo booked in 2 5.58cards/game 1.08×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 8 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Maximiliano Araújo have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Maximiliano Araújo has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Maximiliano Araújo average?

Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Maximiliano Araújo is averaging 0.43 shots on target and 0.87 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Maximiliano Araújo get booked?

Maximiliano Araújo is averaging 0.22 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Maximiliano Araújo commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Maximiliano Araújo commits 1.08 fouls per 90 and wins 1.73 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Maximiliano Araújo?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Maximiliano Araújo plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.