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Primeira Liga 26/27
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Adrián Butzke

Forward MarítimoPrimeira Liga 26/27

Next match
Marítimo at Vitória SC›
Fri 23 Oct
Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Primeira Liga forward, 25/26, 2,890 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.25 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
Total shots1.87 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
Fouls won1.25 per 90
50%
5 of 100.9×
Fouls committed1.50 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
Tackles0.87 per 90
50%
5 of 101.2×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 100.8×
Goals0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 304 selections across 78 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 26/27, Adrián Butzke has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 8 Primeira Liga appearances (1 of 8), 1+ total shot in 75%, 1+ foul committed in 62%, 1+ foul won in 62%, and been booked in 12% (1 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Adrián Butzke featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
FC Porto10 Oct 78 0 0 2 0 3 0
@ Gil Vicente19 Sep 67 0 1 0 2 1 0
@ Moreirense14 Sep 90 0 0 1 0 0 0
Benfica5 Sep 78 0 1 3 3 1 0
@ FC Arouca29 Aug 78 0 1 4 0 0 0
Académico Viseu FC22 Aug 90 1 2 0 2 1 0
@ Famalicão16 Aug 73 0 2 1 1 0 1
Casa Pia8 Aug 87 0 2 0 2 1 0
Boavista30 Nov 78 1 5 0 0 0 0
@ CF Estrela Amadora10 Nov 2 0 1 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Claudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira 4 games Adrián Butzke booked in 1 4.63cards/game 0.90×vs league
Miguel Nogueira 4 games Adrián Butzke booked in 1 4.47cards/game 0.86×vs league
Gustavo Correia 4 games Adrián Butzke never booked 5.97cards/game 1.15×vs league
Joao Pedro Pinheiro 4 games Adrián Butzke never booked 4.89cards/game 0.95×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Adrián Butzke have a shot on target?

In 26/27, Adrián Butzke has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 8 Primeira Liga appearances (1 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Adrián Butzke average?

Across 8 Primeira Liga appearances in 26/27, Adrián Butzke is averaging 0.14 shots on target and 1.26 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Adrián Butzke get booked?

Adrián Butzke is averaging 0.14 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Adrián Butzke commit or win more fouls?

This season Adrián Butzke commits 1.54 fouls per 90 and wins 1.40 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Adrián Butzke?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Adrián Butzke plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.