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SharpXI©
Primeira Liga 26/27
RA

Raphael Guzzo

Midfielder MarítimoPrimeira Liga 26/27

Next match
Marítimo at Vitória SC›
Fri 23 Oct
Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Primeira Liga midfielder, 25/26, 2,874 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.33 per 90
20%
2 of 101.1×
Total shots0.66 per 90
50%
5 of 101.1×
Fouls won1.44 per 90
70%
7 of 101.3×
Fouls committed1.66 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.4×
Tackles1.88 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.5×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.33 per 90
30%
3 of 101.8×
Goals0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 101.6×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 26/27, Raphael Guzzo has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% of 8 Primeira Liga appearances (2 of 8), 1+ total shot in 38%, 1+ foul committed in 88%, 1+ foul won in 75%, and been booked in 38% (3 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Raphael Guzzo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
FC Porto10 Oct 90 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ Gil Vicente19 Sep 90 0 1 1 1 1 0
@ Moreirense14 Sep 81 0 0 1 2 3 0
Benfica5 Sep 89 0 0 2 1 3 0
@ FC Arouca29 Aug 90 0 0 2 0 2 1
Académico Viseu FC22 Aug 59 1 1 2 3 0 1
@ Famalicão16 Aug 90 0 0 0 1 3 0
Casa Pia8 Aug 89 2 2 4 1 2 1
@ Sporting CP18 May 45 0 1 0 0 1 0
Famalicão10 May 90 0 1 2 4 1 0
Officials on record
Claudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira 5 games Raphael Guzzo never booked 4.63cards/game 0.90×vs league
Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves 4 games Raphael Guzzo booked in 2 5.15cards/game 1.00×vs league
Gustavo Correia 3 games Raphael Guzzo booked in 1 5.97cards/game 1.15×vs league
Bruno Jose Ribeiro Pires Costa 3 games Raphael Guzzo never booked 4.10cards/game 0.79×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Raphael Guzzo have a shot on target?

In 26/27, Raphael Guzzo has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% of 8 Primeira Liga appearances (2 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Raphael Guzzo average?

Across 8 Primeira Liga appearances in 26/27, Raphael Guzzo is averaging 0.40 shots on target and 0.53 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Raphael Guzzo get booked?

Raphael Guzzo is averaging 0.40 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Raphael Guzzo commit or win more fouls?

This season Raphael Guzzo commits 1.73 fouls per 90 and wins 1.19 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Raphael Guzzo?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Raphael Guzzo plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.