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SharpXI©
Premier League 24/25
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Nélson Semedo

Wing-back 77% of 30 recent starts FenerbahçePremier League 24/25

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League wing-back, 25/26, 312 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
Total shots0.65 per 90
50%
5 of 101.3×
Fouls won0.86 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
Fouls committed1.19 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
Tackles1.62 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.1×
10%
1 of 101.7×
Cards0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Nélson Semedo has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wing-backs

Nélson Semedo has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Europa League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League wing-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Nélson SemedoFenerbahçeUEFA Europa League 90.98 0.98
Jayden BogleLeeds United 340.58 1.25
Gabriel GudmundssonLeeds United 320.61 1.06
James JustinLeeds United 291.13 0.61
Hugo BuenoWolverhampton 350.61 0.68
Tyrick MitchellCrystal Palace 380.53 0.64
These 5, combined 0.66 0.86

Recent matches

The last 10 games Nélson Semedo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Brentford25 May 90 1 2 3 1 2 1
@ Crystal Palace20 May 45 0 0 0 0 1 0
Brighton10 May 90 0 0 1 1 1 0
@ Man City2 May 86 0 1 1 1 3 0
Leicester26 Apr 89 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Man Utd20 Apr 74 0 1 0 1 1 0
Tottenham13 Apr 90 0 1 1 0 4 0
@ Ipswich5 Apr 90 0 1 0 1 1 0
West Ham1 Apr 90 0 0 3 3 0 0
@ Southampton15 Mar 89 0 0 1 0 2 0
Officials on record
Robert Jones 8 games Nélson Semedo booked in 3 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league
Craig Pawson 7 games Nélson Semedo booked in 4 3.94cards/game 0.97×vs league
Andy Madley 7 games Nélson Semedo booked in 2 3.71cards/game 0.91×vs league
Peter Bankes 7 games Nélson Semedo booked in 2 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 13 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Nélson Semedo have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Nélson Semedo has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Nélson Semedo average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Nélson Semedo is averaging 0.11 shots on target and 0.65 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Nélson Semedo get booked?

Nélson Semedo is averaging 0.11 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Nélson Semedo commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Nélson Semedo commits 1.19 fouls per 90 and wins 0.86 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nélson Semedo?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nélson Semedo plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.