SharpXI is in beta — updated daily. Spot something off? Tell us →In beta — updated daily. Tell us →
SharpXI© Join the waitlist
Premier League · 25/26
RE

Reiss Nelson

Forward · Brentford · Premier League 25/26

In 25/26, Reiss Nelson has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% of his 10 Premier League appearances (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 0%, and 1+ foul won in 20%. He has been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 48 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
10%1 of 10
0.59
50%5 of 10
2.96
20%2 of 10
1.18
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Brentford vs Tottenham Hotspur
Sat 22 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Reiss Nelson featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Liverpool24 May 12 0 0 0 0 0
@ Man Utd27 Apr 17 0 0 0 0 0
Everton11 Apr 45 0 1 0 0 0
Wolves16 Mar 12 0 1 0 0 0
Sunderland7 Jan 8 0 1 0 0 0
Tottenham1 Jan 10 0 0 0 0 0
Bournemouth27 Dec 8 0 1 0 1 0
Burnley29 Nov 15 0 0 0 0 0
Newcastle9 Nov 10 0 0 0 0 0
@ Crystal Palace1 Nov 15 1 1 0 1 0

Frequently asked

How often does Reiss Nelson have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Reiss Nelson has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% of his 10 Premier League appearances (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Reiss Nelson average?

Across 10 Premier League appearances in 25/26, Reiss Nelson is averaging 0.59 shots on target and 2.96 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Reiss Nelson get booked?

Reiss Nelson is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Reiss Nelson commit or win more fouls?

This season Reiss Nelson commits 0.00 fouls per 90 and wins 1.18 — fewer than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Reiss Nelson?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Reiss Nelson plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.