Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Premier League 22/23
ST

Stuart Armstrong

Wide midfielder 57% of 14 recent starts SouthamptonPremier League 22/23

Also in: Championship

Last games
max 32 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League midfielder, 25/26, 4,546 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.38 per 90
10%
1 of 100.4×
Total shots0.95 per 90
40%
4 of 100.7×
Fouls won1.14 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
Fouls committed0.76 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Tackles2.28 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
0%
0 of 9
Cards0.19 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
Goals0.19 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
form only
Assists0.19 per 90
10%
1 of 101.2×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Stuart Armstrong has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Stuart Armstrong featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Liverpool28 May 26 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Brighton21 May 19 0 0 0 0 0 0
Fulham13 May 73 0 0 2 1 1 0
@ Nottingham Forest8 May 76 0 1 0 2 1 0
@ Newcastle30 Apr 71 2 2 0 1 3 1
Bournemouth27 Apr 29 0 0 0 0 3 0
Crystal Palace15 Apr 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
Man City8 Apr 29 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ West Ham2 Apr 71 0 1 1 2 3 0
Tottenham18 Mar 70 0 1 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Robert Jones 4 games Stuart Armstrong never booked 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Premier League official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Stuart Armstrong have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Stuart Armstrong has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Stuart Armstrong average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Stuart Armstrong is averaging 0.38 shots on target and 0.95 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Stuart Armstrong get booked?

Stuart Armstrong is averaging 0.19 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Stuart Armstrong commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Stuart Armstrong commits 0.76 fouls per 90 and wins 1.14 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Stuart Armstrong?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Stuart Armstrong plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.