What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Scottish Premiership midfielder, 25/26, 2,179 appearances
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In 26/27, Stuart Armstrong has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 8 Scottish Premiership appearances (1 of 8), 1+ total shot in 25%, 1+ foul committed in 25%, 1+ foul won in 62%, and been booked in 12% (1 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Stuart Armstrong featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Johnstone11 Oct | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Hibernian19 Sep | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Motherwell15 Sep | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Kilmarnock5 Sep | 90 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Celtic2 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Rangers30 Aug | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Dundee FC8 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Heart of Midlothian1 Aug | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Dundee United9 May | 75 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| @ Livingston1 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Scottish Premiership officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Scottish Premiership referees
Frequently asked
How often does Stuart Armstrong have a shot on target?
In 26/27, Stuart Armstrong has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 8 Scottish Premiership appearances (1 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Stuart Armstrong average?
Across 8 Scottish Premiership appearances in 26/27, Stuart Armstrong is averaging 0.22 shots on target and 0.65 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Stuart Armstrong get booked?
Stuart Armstrong is averaging 0.22 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Stuart Armstrong commit or win more fouls?
This season Stuart Armstrong commits 0.87 fouls per 90 and wins 1.31 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Stuart Armstrong?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Stuart Armstrong plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.