Josh McPake
Forward Heart of MidlothianScottish Premiership 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Scottish Premiership forward, 25/26, 1,979 appearances
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Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Josh McPake has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Josh McPake featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Mirren10 Oct | 82 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| @ Kilmarnock19 Sep | 59 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Falkirk FC15 Sep | 73 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Dundee FC6 Sep | 90 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Hibernian3 Sep | 90 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| St. Johnstone29 Aug | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Dundee United9 Aug | 72 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Dundee FC18 May | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Heart of Midlothian14 May | 90 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Ross County10 May | 88 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Scottish Premiership official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Scottish Premiership referees
Frequently asked
How often does Josh McPake have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Josh McPake has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Josh McPake average?
Across the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Josh McPake is averaging 0.98 shots on target and 2.62 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Josh McPake get booked?
Josh McPake is averaging 0.11 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Josh McPake commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Josh McPake commits 1.42 fouls per 90 and wins 2.62 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Josh McPake?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Josh McPake plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.