Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Scottish Premiership 26/27
SA

Sabah Kerjota

Forward Heart of MidlothianScottish Premiership 26/27

Next match
Heart of Midlothian at Celtic›
Sun 18 Oct
Last games
max 26 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Scottish Premiership forward, 25/26, 1,979 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.87 per 90
40%
4 of 101.1×
1.83bet365Edge
Total shots2.82 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
1.14bet365Edge
Fouls won1.73 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
Fouls committed0.87 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
Tackles2.39 per 90
70%
7 of 101.8×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.22 per 90
10%
1 of 101.0×
4.75bet365Edge
Goals0.22 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
form only
Assists0.43 per 90
20%
2 of 102.9×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 333 selections across 80 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

In 26/27, Sabah Kerjota has hit 1+ shot on target in 38% of 8 Scottish Premiership appearances (3 of 8), 1+ total shot in 75%, 1+ foul committed in 38%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 12% (1 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Sabah Kerjota featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
St. Mirren10 Oct 34 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ Kilmarnock19 Sep 21 0 1 0 1 1 0
@ Falkirk FC15 Sep 17 0 0 1 0 0 0
Dundee FC6 Sep 30 1 2 0 2 1 1
@ Hibernian3 Sep 12 0 1 0 0 1 0
St. Johnstone29 Aug 81 1 3 0 2 4 0
Dundee United9 Aug 90 1 1 0 2 2 0
@ Aberdeen1 Aug 74 0 3 1 0 1 0
Falkirk FC13 May 11 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ Hibernian26 Apr 45 1 1 1 1 0 0
Officials on record
David Dickinson 4 games Sabah Kerjota never booked 4.52cards/game 1.12×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Scottish Premiership official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Scottish Premiership referees

Frequently asked

How often does Sabah Kerjota have a shot on target?

In 26/27, Sabah Kerjota has hit 1+ shot on target in 38% of 8 Scottish Premiership appearances (3 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Sabah Kerjota average?

Across 8 Scottish Premiership appearances in 26/27, Sabah Kerjota is averaging 0.75 shots on target and 2.76 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Sabah Kerjota get booked?

Sabah Kerjota is averaging 0.25 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Sabah Kerjota commit or win more fouls?

This season Sabah Kerjota commits 0.75 fouls per 90 and wins 1.75 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Sabah Kerjota?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Sabah Kerjota plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.