Bert Esselink
Defender Dundee UnitedScottish Premiership 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Scottish Premiership defender, 25/26, 2,407 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 241 selections across 65 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
In 26/27, Bert Esselink has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% of 8 Scottish Premiership appearances (2 of 8), 1+ total shot in 38%, 1+ foul committed in 38%, 1+ foul won in 38%, and been booked in 12% (1 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Bert Esselink featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hibernian10 Oct | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ St. Mirren19 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Falkirk FC5 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Motherwell2 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Kilmarnock29 Aug | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Dundee FC22 Aug | 90 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Heart of Midlothian9 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Rangers31 Jul | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ St. Mirren17 May | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Livingston12 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Scottish Premiership officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Scottish Premiership referees
Frequently asked
How often does Bert Esselink have a shot on target?
In 26/27, Bert Esselink has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% of 8 Scottish Premiership appearances (2 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Bert Esselink average?
Across 8 Scottish Premiership appearances in 26/27, Bert Esselink is averaging 0.26 shots on target and 0.65 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Bert Esselink get booked?
Bert Esselink is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Bert Esselink commit or win more fouls?
This season Bert Esselink commits 0.78 fouls per 90 and wins 0.65 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Bert Esselink?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Bert Esselink plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.