Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Premier League 23/24
VI

Vinícius Souza

Central midfielder 97% of 29 recent starts Sheffield UnitedPremier League 23/24

Also in: La LigaChampionshipBundesliga

Last games
max 36 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League central midfielder, 25/26, 2,542 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.33 per 90
20%
2 of 101.0×
Total shots0.65 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Fouls won0.33 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
Fouls committed2.12 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
Tackles3.75 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.3×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.16 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Vinícius Souza has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

Vinícius Souza has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Bundesliga 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League central midfielders by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Vinícius SouzaVfL WolfsburgBundesliga 250.47 1.99
João GomesAston Villa 350.60 2.18
Soungoutou MagassaWest Ham United 220.63 1.53
Mateus FernandesTottenham Hotspur 360.83 1.46
Nico GonzálezNewcastle United 250.80 1.71
Florentino LuísIpswich Town 310.55 1.70
These 5, combined 0.69 1.75

Recent matches

The last 10 games Vinícius Souza featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Tottenham19 May 85 0 0 3 0 3 1
@ Everton11 May 90 0 0 3 0 1 0
Nottingham Forest4 May 16 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ Newcastle27 Apr 20 0 0 0 0 4 0
@ Man Utd24 Apr 45 1 1 1 1 1 0
Burnley20 Apr 68 1 2 1 0 4 0
Chelsea7 Apr 8 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Liverpool4 Apr 90 0 0 4 0 4 0
Fulham30 Mar 85 0 0 1 1 2 0
@ Bournemouth9 Mar 45 0 0 0 0 3 0
Officials on record
Andy Madley 5 games Vinícius Souza booked in 1 3.71cards/game 0.91×vs league
Stuart Attwell 5 games Vinícius Souza never booked 4.28cards/game 1.05×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Vinícius Souza have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Vinícius Souza has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Vinícius Souza average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Vinícius Souza is averaging 0.33 shots on target and 0.65 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Vinícius Souza get booked?

Vinícius Souza is averaging 0.16 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Vinícius Souza commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Vinícius Souza commits 2.12 fouls per 90 and wins 0.33 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Vinícius Souza?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Vinícius Souza plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.