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Premier League · 25/26
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Welington

Defender · Southampton · Premier League 25/26

Over his last 10 Premier League games, Welington has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, and 1+ foul won in 50%. He has been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 10 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
20%2 of 10
0.56
50%5 of 10
1.48
40%4 of 10
1.11
10%1 of 10
0.19
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Welington featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Arsenal25 May 90 0 0 0 1 0
@ Everton18 May 90 0 0 3 2 0
Man City10 May 88 0 0 0 0 0
@ West Ham19 Apr 11 0 2 0 0 0
@ Tottenham6 Apr 26 0 0 1 0 0
Crystal Palace2 Apr 9 0 0 0 0 0
@ Chelsea25 Feb 1 0 0 0 0 0
Brighton22 Feb 45 0 1 0 2 0
Bournemouth15 Feb 45 0 0 1 1 0
@ Ipswich1 Feb 81 0 0 1 2 1

Frequently asked

How often does Welington have a shot on target?

Over his last 10 Premier League games, Welington has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Welington average?

Across his last 10 Premier League games, Welington is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.56 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Welington get booked?

Welington is averaging 0.19 cards per 90 over his last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Welington commit or win more fouls?

Over his last 10 games Welington commits 1.11 fouls per 90 and wins 1.48 — fewer than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Welington?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Welington plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.