What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League wing-back, 25/26, 312 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Welington has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Welington featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal25 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Everton18 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Man City10 May | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ West Ham19 Apr | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Tottenham6 Apr | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Crystal Palace2 Apr | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Chelsea25 Feb | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brighton22 Feb | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Bournemouth15 Feb | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Ipswich1 Feb | 81 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Frequently asked
How often does Welington have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Welington has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Welington average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Welington is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.56 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Welington get booked?
Welington is averaging 0.19 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Welington commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Welington commits 1.11 fouls per 90 and wins 1.48 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Welington?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Welington plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.