What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship full-back, 25/26, 2,019 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Welington has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 10%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wing-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Welington in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 8 wing-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| WelingtonSouthampton | 2 | 1.05 | 1.05 |
| Jordan ZemuraWatford | 7 | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Mark SykesMillwall | 7 | 1.09 | 0.36 |
| Adam ReachLincoln City | 8 | 1.34 | 0.40 |
| Neto BorgesMiddlesbrough | 8 | 0.73 | 0.55 |
| Hugo BuenoWolverhampton | 6 | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| These 5, combined | 0.89 | 0.58 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Welington featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City12 Sep | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Lincoln City5 Sep | 78 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Middlesbrough12 May | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Preston North End2 May | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Blackburn Rovers14 Apr | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Wrexham7 Apr | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Leicester10 Feb | 73 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Watford7 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| @ Stoke City31 Jan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| @ Portsmouth25 Jan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Championship official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does Welington have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Welington has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Welington average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Welington is averaging 0.16 shots on target and 0.16 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Welington get booked?
Welington is averaging 0.16 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Welington commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Welington commits 1.47 fouls per 90 and wins 0.65 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Welington?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Welington plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.