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Championship · 25/26
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Welington

Defender · Southampton · Championship 25/26

In 25/26, Welington has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% of 19 Championship appearances (0 of 19), 1+ total shot in 11%, 1+ foul committed in 63%, 1+ foul won in 32%, and been booked in 16% (3 of 19). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 19 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
0%0 of 10
0.00
20%2 of 10
0.32
60%6 of 10
1.61
10%1 of 10
0.16
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Southampton at Watford
Sun 16 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Welington featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Middlesbrough12 May 1 0 0 1 1 0
@ Preston North End2 May 77 0 0 0 0 0
Blackburn Rovers14 Apr 19 0 0 0 0 0
@ Wrexham7 Apr 25 0 0 1 0 1
@ Leicester10 Feb 73 0 0 2 0 0
Watford7 Feb 90 0 0 3 0 0
@ Stoke City31 Jan 90 0 0 1 1 0
@ Portsmouth25 Jan 90 0 0 0 0 0
Sheffield United21 Jan 78 0 0 2 0 0
@ Middlesbrough4 Jan 16 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Josh Smith 3 games · Welington never booked 4.09cards/game 1.02×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Championship official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Welington have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Welington has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% of 19 Championship appearances (0 of 19). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Welington average?

Across 19 Championship appearances in 25/26, Welington is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.37 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Welington get booked?

Welington is averaging 0.27 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Welington commit or win more fouls?

This season Welington commits 1.92 fouls per 90 and wins 0.64 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Welington?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Welington plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.