Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Championship 26/27
DO

Dom Jefferies

Wing-back 60% of 5 recent starts Lincoln CityChampionship 26/27

Next match
Lincoln City at Sheffield United›
Sat 10 OctReferee Josh Smith

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 6 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 6 games

Compared with a Championship wing-back, 25/26, 718 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.22 per 90
17%
1 of 61.3×
3.30MGMEdge
Total shots1.30 per 90
67%
4 of 61.9×
1.53bet365Edge
Fouls won0.22 per 90
17%
1 of 60.4×
Fouls committed0.87 per 90
50%
3 of 61.1×
Tackles3.04 per 90
67%
4 of 61.0×
0%
0 of 6
Cards0.22 per 90
17%
1 of 61.4×
4.00bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 6
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 6
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 6 Championship games, Dom Jefferies has hit 1+ shot on target in 17% (1 of 6), 1+ total shot in 67%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 17%, and been booked in 17% (1 of 6). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 6

Comparable wing-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Dom Jefferies in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 8 wing-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Dom JefferiesLincoln City 61.30 0.87
Jordan ZemuraWatford 70.60 1.00
Mark SykesMillwall 71.09 0.36
Adam ReachLincoln City 81.34 0.40
Harry ClarkePreston North End 71.14 1.29
Ryan AlebiosuBlackburn Rovers 81.07 0.40
These 5, combined 1.08 0.68

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 6 games Dom Jefferies featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Bristol City15 Sep 90 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ Preston North End12 Sep 22 0 0 1 0 2 1
Blackburn Rovers1 Sep 87 1 1 2 0 5 0
@ Bolton Wanderers29 Aug 90 0 1 1 0 5 0
Portsmouth22 Aug 66 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ Middlesbrough15 Aug 59 0 3 0 0 2 0

Frequently asked

How often does Dom Jefferies have a shot on target?

Over the last 6 Championship games, Dom Jefferies has hit 1+ shot on target in 17% (1 of 6). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Dom Jefferies average?

Across the last 6 Championship games, Dom Jefferies is averaging 0.22 shots on target and 1.30 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Dom Jefferies get booked?

Dom Jefferies is averaging 0.22 cards per 90 over the last 6 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Dom Jefferies commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 6 games Dom Jefferies commits 0.87 fouls per 90 and wins 0.22 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Dom Jefferies?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Dom Jefferies plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.