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Championship 26/27
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Adam Reach

Wing-back 50% of 16 recent starts Lincoln CityChampionship 26/27

Next match
Lincoln City at Sheffield United›
Sat 10 OctReferee Josh Smith

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 45 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship wing-back, 25/26, 718 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.13 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
4.20MGMEdge
Total shots1.57 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 102.2×
1.50bet365Edge
Fouls won0.91 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
Fouls committed0.39 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
Tackles1.43 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
10%
1 of 101.9×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
5.50bet365Edge
Goals0.13 per 90
10%
1 of 103.1×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 26/27, Adam Reach has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 8 Championship appearances (1 of 8), 1+ total shot in 75%, 1+ foul committed in 38%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wing-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Adam Reach in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 7 wing-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Adam ReachLincoln City 81.34 0.40
Ryan AlebiosuBlackburn Rovers 81.07 0.40
Mark SykesMillwall 71.09 0.36
Neto BorgesMiddlesbrough 80.73 0.55
Jackson TchatchouaWolverhampton 60.20 0.40
Hugo BuenoWolverhampton 60.50 0.67
These 5, combined 0.75 0.48

Recent matches

The last 10 games Adam Reach featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Swansea City19 Sep 64 0 0 0 1 2 0
@ Bristol City15 Sep 71 0 0 1 2 1 0
@ Preston North End12 Sep 88 0 2 0 3 4 0
Southampton5 Sep 90 0 1 1 0 1 0
Blackburn Rovers1 Sep 90 0 2 0 0 1 0
@ Bolton Wanderers29 Aug 90 0 1 0 0 2 0
Portsmouth22 Aug 90 0 2 1 0 0 0
@ Middlesbrough15 Aug 89 1 2 0 1 0 0
@ Southampton17 May 17 0 1 0 0 0 0
Southampton12 May 1 0 1 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Tim Robinson 3 games Adam Reach never booked 4.59cards/game 1.14×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Championship official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Adam Reach have a shot on target?

In 26/27, Adam Reach has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 8 Championship appearances (1 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Adam Reach average?

Across 8 Championship appearances in 26/27, Adam Reach is averaging 0.13 shots on target and 1.34 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Adam Reach get booked?

Adam Reach is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Adam Reach commit or win more fouls?

This season Adam Reach commits 0.40 fouls per 90 and wins 0.94 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Adam Reach?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Adam Reach plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.