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Championship · 25/26
JO

Joel Bagan

Defender · Cardiff City · Championship 25/26

Over the last 10 Championship games, Joel Bagan has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 0%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 32 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
0%0 of 10
0.00
20%2 of 10
0.43
50%5 of 10
0.86
20%2 of 10
0.29
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Cardiff City vs Wrexham
Mon 17 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Joel Bagan featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Norwich3 May 69 0 0 1 0 1
@ Sheffield United18 Apr 8 0 0 0 0 0
@ Queens Park Rangers5 Apr 45 0 0 0 1 0
Sheffield Wednesday29 Mar 90 0 0 1 2 0
@ Blackburn Rovers15 Mar 90 0 0 0 0 0
@ Sunderland8 Mar 90 0 0 2 0 1
Burnley4 Mar 70 0 0 0 0 0
Hull City25 Feb 12 0 0 0 0 0
@ Plymouth Argyle22 Feb 63 0 0 1 0 0
Bristol City15 Feb 90 0 0 1 0 0
Officials on record
James Bell 3 games · Joel Bagan never booked 3.96cards/game 0.99×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Championship official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Joel Bagan have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Joel Bagan has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Joel Bagan average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Joel Bagan is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Joel Bagan get booked?

Joel Bagan is averaging 0.29 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Joel Bagan commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Joel Bagan commits 0.86 fouls per 90 and wins 0.43 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Joel Bagan?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Joel Bagan plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.