Joel Bagan
Full-back 46% of 26 recent starts Cardiff CityChampionship 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship full-back, 25/26, 2,019 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
In 26/27, Joel Bagan has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% of 8 Championship appearances (2 of 8), 1+ total shot in 38%, 1+ foul committed in 38%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Joel Bagan in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 29 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joel BaganCardiff City | 8 | 0.50 | 0.63 |
| Rio CardinesBristol City | 8 | 0.41 | 0.28 |
| Josh TymonSwansea City | 8 | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| Charlie TaylorDerby County | 8 | 0.25 | 1.27 |
| Connor RobertsBurnley | 6 | 0.18 | 0.91 |
| Kyle WalkerBurnley | 6 | 0.17 | 0.83 |
| These 5, combined | 0.26 | 0.72 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Joel Bagan featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton Athletic19 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Bolton Wanderers12 Sep | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Stoke City8 Sep | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Portsmouth5 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Queens Park Rangers2 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sheffield United29 Aug | 90 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Derby County22 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Wrexham17 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Norwich3 May | 69 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| @ Sheffield United18 Apr | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does Joel Bagan have a shot on target?
In 26/27, Joel Bagan has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% of 8 Championship appearances (2 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Joel Bagan average?
Across 8 Championship appearances in 26/27, Joel Bagan is averaging 0.25 shots on target and 0.50 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Joel Bagan get booked?
Joel Bagan is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Joel Bagan commit or win more fouls?
This season Joel Bagan commits 0.63 fouls per 90 and wins 0.50 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Joel Bagan?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Joel Bagan plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.