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Premier League referee · card profile
TH

Thomas Kirk

Premier League referee · 6 matches on record · 14.6% conversion

Over his last 6 Premier League games, Thomas Kirk has averaged 3.50 cards a match — 14% below the league average of 4.09. That splits 3.0 yellow and 0.5 red a game — a red in 2 of the 6. The home side sees more of them — 1.7 to 1.8 a game, flatter than the league's 0.3 gap. 5+ cards landed in 33% of them (2 of 6), and he turned 14.6% of fouls into bookings. These are raw match figures from games he took charge of, not odds.

Last games
max 6 on record

Match cards last 6 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer gameModel
These are Thomas Kirk's own match figures — the raw card and foul counts in games he took charge of. They're not adjusted for how aggressive the two teams are or whether it's a derby. The model layers those in — the referee tendency, each player's booking rate and an opponent card-induction factor — to price a specific leg. That combined verdict is the locked price · edge.
last 6

Career profile

The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Thomas Kirk turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Premier League season on record.

MeasureKirk League avg
Cards / match3.50 4.09
vs league0.86× 1.00×
Foul-to-card conversion14.6% 18.7%
Fouls / match24.0 21.9
Red cards shown3
Matches on record6 (6 in 25/26)

Recent matches

The last 6 Premier League games Thomas Kirk took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.

MatchScoreCardsYRFouls
Wolves v Fulham17 May 1–1 1 1 0 28
Nottingham Forest v Burnley19 Apr 4–1 2 2 0 20
Sunderland v Brighton14 Mar 0–1 3 3 0 19
Crystal Palace v Wolves22 Feb 1–0 8 7 1 32
Everton v Wolves7 Jan 1–1 7 5 2 28
Burnley v Crystal Palace3 Dec 0–1 0 0 0 17

Thomas Kirk has officiated only 6 matches on our record — a thin sample. The model shrinks a thin referee tendency toward the league average and discounts its confidence until the evidence builds, so read the numbers above gently.

Frequently asked

How many cards does Thomas Kirk give per game?

Thomas Kirk averages 3.50 cards a game across 6 Premier League matches — 14% below the league average of 4.09. That's a raw rate from only 6 matches, so the model shrinks it toward the league average rather than trusting it outright.

Is Thomas Kirk a strict referee?

No — he's more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls he turns into bookings — and Thomas Kirk runs at 14.6% against a league average of 18.7%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.

Does Thomas Kirk's record change bet builder card prices?

It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.

How reliable is Thomas Kirk's card rate?

It rests on 6 career matches, still a thin sample — read it gently. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.

Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, an opponent factor and de-vigging, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.