Gil Vicente v SC Farense
How the SharpXI model rated this Primeira Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Gil Vicente beat SC Farense 1–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 8 landed — the strongest being Yusupha Njie for 1+ shots total (98%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Rony Lopes for 1+ shots total (96%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yusupha Njie | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 1 | ✓ |
| Rony Lopes | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jorge Aguirre | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 2 | ✓ |
| Pablo Felipe | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tomané | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| João Marques | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kanya Fujimoto | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Félix Correia | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mohamed Bamba | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 4 | ✓ |
| Rony Lopes | shots on target | 1+ | 73% | 0 | ✗ |
| Yusupha Njie | shots on target | 1+ | 73% | 0 | ✗ |
| Pablo Felipe | shots on target | 1+ | 73% | 0 | ✗ |
| Claudio Falcão | shots total | 1+ | 63% | 0 | ✗ |
| Derick Poloni | shots total | 1+ | 63% | 4 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- SC Farense 0–1 Gil Vicente Dec 2024
- Gil Vicente 2–0 SC Farense May 2024
- SC Farense 1–0 Gil Vicente Jan 2024
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Gil Vicente v SC Farense?
8 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Gil Vicente v SC Farense?
The most confident call it got wrong was Rony Lopes at 96% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Primeira Liga?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.