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SharpXI©
Primeira Liga 26/27
AL

Alan

Midfielder Vitória SCPrimeira Liga 26/27

Next match
Vitória SC vs Marítimo›
Fri 23 Oct
Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Primeira Liga midfielder, 25/26, 2,874 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.99 per 90
40%
4 of 102.2×
Total shots1.69 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
Fouls won2.12 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.7×
Fouls committed0.99 per 90
50%
5 of 100.9×
Tackles1.27 per 90
60%
6 of 101.0×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.28 per 90
20%
2 of 101.2×
Goals0.28 per 90
20%
2 of 103.2×
form only
Assists0.14 per 90
10%
1 of 101.7×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Alan has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 90%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Alan featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Moreirense20 Sep 57 0 0 1 1 0 0
@ Académico Viseu FC12 Sep 30 2 3 0 2 1 0
AVS - Futebol SAD16 May 28 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ Tondela11 May 72 0 1 1 1 1 1
CF Estrela Amadora2 May 68 2 2 1 2 0 0
@ Benfica25 Apr 79 1 1 0 1 0 0
Estoril Praia20 Apr 89 2 2 0 1 2 0
@ Famalicão10 Apr 67 0 0 2 4 2 1
Sporting Braga4 Apr 90 0 2 2 2 2 0
FC Arouca21 Mar 58 0 0 0 1 1 0
Officials on record
Bruno Jose Ribeiro Pires Costa 8 games Alan never booked 4.10cards/game 0.79×vs league
Bessa, Jose 6 games Alan booked in 2 5.50cards/game 1.06×vs league
Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves 6 games Alan booked in 2 5.15cards/game 1.00×vs league
Antonio Nobre 5 games Alan booked in 1 5.58cards/game 1.08×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 16 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Alan have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Alan has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Alan average?

Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Alan is averaging 0.99 shots on target and 1.69 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Alan get booked?

Alan is averaging 0.28 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Alan commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Alan commits 0.99 fouls per 90 and wins 2.12 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Alan?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Alan plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.