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SharpXI©
Primeira Liga 26/27
TH

Thiago Balieiro

Defender Vitória SCPrimeira Liga 26/27

Next match
Vitória SC vs Marítimo›
Fri 23 Oct
Last games
max 21 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Primeira Liga defender, 25/26, 3,218 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 100.8×
Total shots0.80 per 90
70%
7 of 102.1×
Fouls won0.40 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
Fouls committed1.80 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.5×
Tackles1.70 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.4×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.40 per 90
40%
4 of 102.0×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 26/27, Thiago Balieiro has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 8 Primeira Liga appearances (1 of 8), 1+ total shot in 88%, 1+ foul committed in 88%, 1+ foul won in 38%, and been booked in 38% (3 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Thiago Balieiro featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Benfica11 Oct 90 0 1 4 0 2 1
Moreirense20 Sep 90 0 1 1 1 1 0
@ Académico Viseu FC12 Sep 90 0 1 2 0 5 0
Casa Pia6 Sep 90 1 2 2 0 1 1
@ Sporting Braga31 Aug 90 0 1 3 1 1 0
CD Nacional23 Aug 90 0 1 0 0 1 0
@ Sporting CP14 Aug 90 0 0 1 1 1 1
FC Arouca8 Aug 90 0 1 1 0 3 0
@ CD Nacional16 May 90 0 0 1 1 2 0
@ Sporting CP4 May 90 0 0 3 0 0 1
Officials on record
David Rafael Oliveira da Silva 3 games Thiago Balieiro booked in 2 5.84cards/game 1.13×vs league
Carlos Macedo 3 games Thiago Balieiro never booked 4.14cards/game 0.80×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Thiago Balieiro have a shot on target?

In 26/27, Thiago Balieiro has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 8 Primeira Liga appearances (1 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Thiago Balieiro average?

Across 8 Primeira Liga appearances in 26/27, Thiago Balieiro is averaging 0.12 shots on target and 1.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Thiago Balieiro get booked?

Thiago Balieiro is averaging 0.38 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Thiago Balieiro commit or win more fouls?

This season Thiago Balieiro commits 1.75 fouls per 90 and wins 0.38 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Thiago Balieiro?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Thiago Balieiro plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.