What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Primeira Liga defender, 25/26, 3,218 appearances
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Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Álvaro Carreras has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 40% (4 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
Álvaro Carreras has no Primeira Liga record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Champions League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Primeira Liga full-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Álvaro CarrerasReal MadridUEFA Champions League | 9 | 0.34 | 1.58 |
| Fabiano SouzaMoreirense | 7 | 0.36 | 1.61 |
| Alberto CostaFC Porto | 29 | 0.97 | 2.42 |
| Iván FresnedaSporting CP | 23 | 0.50 | 1.12 |
| Martim FernandesFC Porto | 20 | 0.32 | 1.13 |
| Georgios VagiannidisSporting CP | 22 | 0.63 | 1.74 |
| These 5, combined | 0.64 | 1.71 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Álvaro Carreras featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Sporting Braga17 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Sporting CP10 May | 83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| AVS - Futebol SAD27 Apr | 67 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| @ Vitória SC19 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| FC Arouca13 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ FC Porto6 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| SC Farense2 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Gil Vicente28 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Rio Ave16 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| CD Nacional8 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Álvaro Carreras have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Álvaro Carreras has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Álvaro Carreras average?
Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Álvaro Carreras is averaging 0.10 shots on target and 0.41 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Álvaro Carreras get booked?
Álvaro Carreras is averaging 0.41 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Álvaro Carreras commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Álvaro Carreras commits 1.55 fouls per 90 and wins 1.24 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Álvaro Carreras?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Álvaro Carreras plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.