What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Primeira Liga forward, 25/26, 2,890 appearances
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In 26/27, Borja Sainz has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% of 8 Primeira Liga appearances (4 of 8), 1+ total shot in 62%, 1+ foul committed in 38%, 1+ foul won in 62%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wingers
The closest 5 profiles to Borja Sainz in Primeira Liga, 25/26 — drawn from 9 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borja SainzFC Porto | 30 | 2.86 | 1.85 |
| Andreas SchjelderupBenfica | 28 | 2.44 | 1.30 |
| Geny CatamoSporting CP | 29 | 2.25 | 0.83 |
| Dodi LukebakioBenfica | 17 | 4.11 | 1.09 |
| William GomesFC Porto | 28 | 3.24 | 2.39 |
| Gil DiasFamalicão | 33 | 1.90 | 1.54 |
| These 5, combined | 2.50 | 1.40 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Borja Sainz featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Marítimo10 Oct | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Benfica20 Sep | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Casa Pia12 Sep | 28 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Moreirense4 Sep | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Académico Viseu FC29 Aug | 30 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| FC Arouca23 Aug | 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Rio Ave15 Aug | 24 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| FC Alverca9 Aug | 32 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Santa Clara16 May | 56 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ AVS - Futebol SAD10 May | 59 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Borja Sainz have a shot on target?
In 26/27, Borja Sainz has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% of 8 Primeira Liga appearances (4 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Borja Sainz average?
Across 8 Primeira Liga appearances in 26/27, Borja Sainz is averaging 3.62 shots on target and 4.97 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Borja Sainz get booked?
Borja Sainz is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Borja Sainz commit or win more fouls?
This season Borja Sainz commits 1.36 fouls per 90 and wins 2.26 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Borja Sainz?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Borja Sainz plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.