What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Primeira Liga forward, 25/26, 2,890 appearances
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Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, David Neres has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games David Neres featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Famalicão5 May | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sporting Braga27 Apr | 89 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SC Farense22 Apr | 28 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Moreirense14 Apr | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sporting CP6 Apr | 89 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Chaves29 Mar | 82 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Casa Pia17 Mar | 31 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Estoril Praia10 Mar | 75 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ FC Porto3 Mar | 34 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Portimonense25 Feb | 66 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does David Neres have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, David Neres has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does David Neres average?
Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, David Neres is averaging 0.62 shots on target and 2.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does David Neres get booked?
David Neres is averaging 0.15 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does David Neres commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games David Neres commits 0.92 fouls per 90 and wins 0.92 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for David Neres?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. David Neres plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.