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Primeira Liga 26/27
HÉ

Héctor Hernández

Forward Gil VicentePrimeira Liga 26/27

Next match
Gil Vicente at Sporting Braga›
Mon 19 Oct
Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Primeira Liga forward, 25/26, 2,890 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.11 per 90
50%
5 of 101.4×
2.10bet365Edge
Total shots2.86 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
1.20bet365Edge
Fouls won0.16 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
Fouls committed1.59 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.5×
Tackles0.80 per 90
50%
5 of 101.2×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.48 per 90
30%
3 of 102.5×
Goals0.48 per 90
30%
3 of 102.0×
form only
Assists0.16 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 304 selections across 78 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Héctor Hernández has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 10%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Héctor Hernández featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Moreirense9 Oct 72 0 0 0 0 0 0
Marítimo19 Sep 71 0 1 1 0 0 0
@ Benfica13 Sep 56 1 1 1 0 1 1
Académico Viseu FC6 Sep 90 2 11 2 1 1 0
@ Famalicão30 Aug 88 0 0 2 0 1 1
Casa Pia24 Aug 74 1 2 0 0 0 0
Rio Ave9 Aug 14 2 2 1 0 1 0
@ Sporting CP16 May 17 0 0 1 0 0 0
FC Arouca11 May 26 1 1 1 0 0 1
@ Rio Ave3 May 58 0 0 1 0 1 0
Officials on record
Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves 9 games Héctor Hernández booked in 1 5.15cards/game 1.00×vs league
Luís Godinho 6 games Héctor Hernández never booked 5.39cards/game 1.04×vs league
Gustavo Correia 4 games Héctor Hernández never booked 5.97cards/game 1.15×vs league
Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho 4 games Héctor Hernández never booked 4.55cards/game 0.88×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 8 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Héctor Hernández have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Héctor Hernández has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Héctor Hernández average?

Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Héctor Hernández is averaging 1.11 shots on target and 2.86 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Héctor Hernández get booked?

Héctor Hernández is averaging 0.48 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Héctor Hernández commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Héctor Hernández commits 1.59 fouls per 90 and wins 0.16 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Héctor Hernández?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Héctor Hernández plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.