What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 5 games
Compared with a Primeira Liga forward, 25/26, 2,890 appearances
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Over the last 5 Primeira Liga games, Luuk de Jong has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (2 of 5), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 20% (1 of 5). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Luuk de Jong in Primeira Liga, 25/26 — drawn from 9 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luuk de JongFC Porto | 5 | 2.05 | 1.03 |
| Pau VíctorSporting Braga | 32 | 1.90 | 1.23 |
| Amine El OuazzaniAngers | 13 | 2.01 | 1.13 |
| Fran NavarroSporting Braga | 29 | 1.25 | 1.67 |
| Deniz GülGalatasaray | 29 | 1.98 | 2.82 |
| Samu AghehowaFC Porto | 20 | 3.50 | 1.15 |
| These 5, combined | 2.13 | 1.56 |
Recent matches
The last 5 games Luuk de Jong featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril Praia30 Nov | 22 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sporting CP30 Aug | 80 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Casa Pia24 Aug | 90 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Gil Vicente18 Aug | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Vitória SC11 Aug | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Luuk de Jong have a shot on target?
Over the last 5 Primeira Liga games, Luuk de Jong has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (2 of 5). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Luuk de Jong average?
Across the last 5 Primeira Liga games, Luuk de Jong is averaging 1.03 shots on target and 2.05 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Luuk de Jong get booked?
Luuk de Jong is averaging 0.34 cards per 90 over the last 5 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Luuk de Jong commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 5 games Luuk de Jong commits 1.03 fouls per 90 and wins 0.68 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luuk de Jong?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Luuk de Jong plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.