What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Primeira Liga midfielder, 25/26, 2,874 appearances
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Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Manuel Ugarte has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 90%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Manuel Ugarte featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica21 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| Marítimo13 May | 90 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Paços de Ferreira7 May | 82 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Famalicão30 Apr | 73 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| @ Vitória SC24 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| FC Arouca16 Apr | 77 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| @ Casa Pia9 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| @ Gil Vicente5 Apr | 76 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Santa Clara1 Apr | 69 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Boavista12 Mar | 84 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Primeira Liga official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Manuel Ugarte have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Manuel Ugarte has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Manuel Ugarte average?
Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Manuel Ugarte is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.33 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Manuel Ugarte get booked?
Manuel Ugarte is averaging 0.22 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Manuel Ugarte commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Manuel Ugarte commits 2.41 fouls per 90 and wins 1.75 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Manuel Ugarte?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Manuel Ugarte plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.