What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Primeira Liga defender, 25/26, 3,218 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 304 selections across 78 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Morato has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
Morato has no Primeira Liga record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Europa League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Primeira Liga centre-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| MoratoWest Ham UnitedUEFA Europa League | 14 | 0.16 | 0.55 |
| José FonteCasa Pia | 18 | 0.56 | 0.88 |
| Zeno DebastSporting CP | 17 | 0.61 | 1.06 |
| Jakub KiwiorFC Porto | 26 | 0.65 | 1.14 |
| Gonçalo InácioSporting CP | 29 | 0.40 | 0.75 |
| Tomás AraújoBenfica | 23 | 0.91 | 0.48 |
| These 5, combined | 0.61 | 0.86 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Morato featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Famalicão11 Aug | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Rio Ave17 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| FC Arouca12 May | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Moreirense14 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Estoril Praia10 Mar | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ FC Porto3 Mar | 45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Vizela18 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Vitória SC11 Feb | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Gil Vicente4 Feb | 67 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ CF Estrela Amadora29 Jan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Primeira Liga official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Morato have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Morato has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Morato average?
Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Morato is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.40 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Morato get booked?
Morato is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Morato commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Morato commits 1.60 fouls per 90 and wins 0.53 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Morato?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Morato plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.