Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Primeira Liga 25/26
PA

Paulo Oliveira

Defender Sporting BragaPrimeira Liga 25/26

Next match
Sporting Braga vs Gil Vicente›
Mon 19 Oct
Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Primeira Liga defender, 25/26, 3,218 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Total shots0.42 per 90
20%
2 of 100.6×
Fouls won0.63 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
Fouls committed1.67 per 90
50%
5 of 100.8×
Tackles0.63 per 90
20%
2 of 100.3×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.42 per 90
20%
2 of 101.0×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 304 selections across 78 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Paulo Oliveira has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Paulo Oliveira in Primeira Liga, 25/26 — drawn from 13 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Paulo OliveiraSporting Braga 170.22 1.32
Zeno DebastSporting CP 170.61 1.06
Ousmane DiomandeNottingham Forest 170.69 1.94
Jan BednarekFC Porto 320.43 1.24
Eduardo QuaresmaSporting CP 160.38 1.06
José FonteCasa Pia 180.56 0.88
These 5, combined 0.52 1.24

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Paulo Oliveira featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
CF Estrela Amadora16 May 85 0 1 1 1 1 0
Estoril Praia3 May 20 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Santa Clara26 Apr 42 0 0 1 0 0 1
@ Casa Pia23 Apr 90 0 0 2 1 0 0
FC Arouca12 Apr 45 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sporting CP7 Mar 45 0 0 3 0 0 1
@ CD Nacional28 Feb 45 0 0 1 1 2 0
@ Gil Vicente14 Feb 18 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ AVS - Futebol SAD2 Feb 25 0 0 0 0 0 0
FC Alverca25 Jan 16 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo 8 games Paulo Oliveira booked in 1 5.60cards/game 1.08×vs league
Claudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira 8 games Paulo Oliveira never booked 4.63cards/game 0.90×vs league
Luís Godinho 7 games Paulo Oliveira booked in 3 5.39cards/game 1.04×vs league
Joao Pedro Pinheiro 6 games Paulo Oliveira booked in 1 4.89cards/game 0.95×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Paulo Oliveira have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Paulo Oliveira has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Paulo Oliveira average?

Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Paulo Oliveira is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.42 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Paulo Oliveira get booked?

Paulo Oliveira is averaging 0.42 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Paulo Oliveira commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Paulo Oliveira commits 1.67 fouls per 90 and wins 0.63 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Paulo Oliveira?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Paulo Oliveira plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.