Alfredo Morelos
Forward RangersScottish Premiership 22/23
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Scottish Premiership forward, 25/26, 1,979 appearances
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Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Alfredo Morelos has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Alfredo Morelos featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian24 May | 82 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Aberdeen7 May | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Aberdeen23 Apr | 90 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| St. Mirren15 Apr | 90 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Celtic8 Apr | 86 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Dundee United1 Apr | 73 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Motherwell18 Mar | 25 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Hibernian8 Mar | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kilmarnock4 Mar | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Livingston18 Feb | 79 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Scottish Premiership officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Scottish Premiership referees
Frequently asked
How often does Alfredo Morelos have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Alfredo Morelos has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Alfredo Morelos average?
Across the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Alfredo Morelos is averaging 1.10 shots on target and 3.78 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Alfredo Morelos get booked?
Alfredo Morelos is averaging 0.16 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Alfredo Morelos commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Alfredo Morelos commits 1.42 fouls per 90 and wins 1.26 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Alfredo Morelos?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Alfredo Morelos plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.