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SharpXI©
Scottish Premiership 26/27
JO

Jota

Forward CelticScottish Premiership 26/27

Also in: Ligue 1

Next match
Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian›
Sun 18 Oct
Last games
max 45 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Scottish Premiership forward, 25/26, 1,979 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.08 per 90
50%
5 of 101.3×
Total shots2.16 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
Fouls won1.62 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
Fouls committed0.90 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
Tackles0.36 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
6.00bet365Edge
Goals0.54 per 90
30%
3 of 102.0×
form only
Assists0.18 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Jota has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Jota featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Motherwell11 Oct 16 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Dundee United26 Apr 35 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kilmarnock12 Apr 30 0 1 0 1 0 0
@ St. Johnstone6 Apr 76 1 3 1 3 0 0
Heart of Midlothian29 Mar 81 1 1 0 1 1 0
Rangers16 Mar 70 0 2 1 1 0 0
@ St. Mirren1 Mar 26 0 0 0 0 0 0
Aberdeen25 Feb 59 2 2 0 3 0 0
@ Hibernian22 Feb 45 1 2 1 0 1 0
Dundee United15 Feb 62 1 1 2 0 0 0
Officials on record
Nick Walsh 7 games Jota never booked 4.28cards/game 1.06×vs league
Steven McLean 7 games Jota never booked 3.38cards/game 0.84×vs league
David Dickinson 5 games Jota booked in 1 4.52cards/game 1.12×vs league
John Beaton 3 games Jota never booked 4.15cards/game 1.03×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Scottish Premiership officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Scottish Premiership referees

Frequently asked

How often does Jota have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Jota has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Jota average?

Across the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Jota is averaging 1.08 shots on target and 2.16 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Jota get booked?

Jota is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Jota commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Jota commits 0.90 fouls per 90 and wins 1.62 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Jota?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Jota plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.