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Scottish Premiership 23/24
LI

Liel Abada

Forward CelticScottish Premiership 23/24

Next match
Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian›
Sun 18 Oct
Last games
max 43 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Scottish Premiership forward, 25/26, 1,979 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.82 per 90
70%
7 of 101.8×
Total shots2.55 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
Fouls won0.55 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Fouls committed1.45 per 90
50%
5 of 100.9×
Tackles0.36 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Goals0.18 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
form only
Assists0.18 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Liel Abada has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Liel Abada featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Hibernian7 Feb 25 0 0 3 0 0 0
@ Aberdeen3 Feb 59 2 2 1 0 0 0
Ross County27 Jan 76 0 3 0 0 1 0
@ St. Mirren2 Jan 27 2 2 0 0 0 0
Rangers30 Dec 18 1 1 0 0 0 0
@ Rangers3 Sep 66 1 1 2 0 0 0
St. Johnstone26 Aug 30 1 1 0 1 0 0
@ Aberdeen13 Aug 70 2 3 1 1 1 0
Ross County5 Aug 79 1 1 1 1 0 0
Aberdeen27 May 45 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Nick Walsh 9 games Liel Abada never booked 4.28cards/game 1.06×vs league
Steven McLean 7 games Liel Abada never booked 3.38cards/game 0.84×vs league
David Dickinson 4 games Liel Abada booked in 1 4.52cards/game 1.12×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Scottish Premiership officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Scottish Premiership referees

Frequently asked

How often does Liel Abada have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Liel Abada has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Liel Abada average?

Across the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Liel Abada is averaging 1.82 shots on target and 2.55 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Liel Abada get booked?

Liel Abada is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Liel Abada commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Liel Abada commits 1.45 fouls per 90 and wins 0.55 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Liel Abada?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Liel Abada plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.