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SharpXI©
Scottish Premiership 24/25
LU

Luis Palma

Forward CelticScottish Premiership 24/25

Next match
Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian›
Sun 18 Oct
Last games
max 36 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Scottish Premiership forward, 25/26, 1,979 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.91 per 90
30%
3 of 100.8×
Total shots3.64 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
Fouls won0.61 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
Fouls committed0.91 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Tackles1.82 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Goals0.30 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Luis Palma has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

Luis Palma has no Scottish Premiership record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Conference League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Scottish Premiership wingers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Luis PalmaLech PoznańUEFA Conference League 102.33 0.61
Mikey Moore1. FC Köln 332.57 0.29
Yang Hyun-JunCeltic 311.86 0.95
James ForrestCeltic 272.77 0.23
Djeidi GassamaRangers 382.51 1.15
Sebastian TounektiCeltic 272.02 1.19
These 5, combined 2.32 0.82

Recent matches

The last 10 games Luis Palma featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Dundee FC14 Jan 19 0 0 0 0 1 0
Dundee United8 Jan 14 1 2 0 0 0 0
St. Mirren5 Jan 12 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Dundee United22 Dec 29 0 0 1 0 0 0
Dundee FC30 Oct 57 1 4 1 0 1 0
@ Motherwell27 Oct 11 0 1 0 0 0 0
Heart of Midlothian14 Sep 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kilmarnock4 Aug 27 0 1 0 1 2 0
St. Mirren18 May 90 1 3 1 0 0 0
@ Kilmarnock15 May 28 0 1 0 1 2 0
Officials on record
John Beaton 3 games Luis Palma never booked 4.15cards/game 1.03×vs league
Nick Walsh 3 games Luis Palma never booked 4.28cards/game 1.06×vs league
Steven McLean 3 games Luis Palma never booked 3.38cards/game 0.84×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Scottish Premiership officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Scottish Premiership referees

Frequently asked

How often does Luis Palma have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Luis Palma has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Luis Palma average?

Across the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Luis Palma is averaging 0.91 shots on target and 3.64 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Luis Palma get booked?

Luis Palma is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Luis Palma commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Luis Palma commits 0.91 fouls per 90 and wins 0.61 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luis Palma?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Luis Palma plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.