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SharpXI©
Scottish Premiership 26/27
LU

Luke McCowan

Forward CelticScottish Premiership 26/27

Next match
Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian›
Sun 18 Oct
Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Scottish Premiership forward, 25/26, 1,979 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.72 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
1.44bet365Edge
Total shots2.87 per 90
50%
5 of 100.8×
1.05bet365Edge
Fouls won0.36 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
Fouls committed1.79 per 90
50%
5 of 100.9×
Tackles1.43 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.36 per 90
10%
1 of 101.0×
3.50bet365Edge
Goals0.36 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Luke McCowan has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 10%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Luke McCowan featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Rangers20 Sep 45 0 0 1 1 0 0
Falkirk FC29 Aug 12 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Kilmarnock9 Aug 16 1 2 0 0 1 0
Dundee FC3 Aug 11 0 0 0 0 0 0
Rangers10 May 45 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Hibernian3 May 26 0 1 1 0 1 1
St. Mirren11 Apr 17 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ Dundee FC5 Apr 23 0 2 0 0 0 0
@ Dundee United22 Mar 28 1 2 0 0 0 0
Motherwell14 Mar 28 0 1 1 0 1 0
Officials on record
David Dickinson 10 games Luke McCowan booked in 2 4.52cards/game 1.12×vs league
Nick Walsh 10 games Luke McCowan booked in 1 4.28cards/game 1.06×vs league
John Beaton 10 games Luke McCowan never booked 4.15cards/game 1.03×vs league
Steven McLean 8 games Luke McCowan booked in 1 3.38cards/game 0.84×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Scottish Premiership officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Scottish Premiership referees

Frequently asked

How often does Luke McCowan have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Luke McCowan has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Luke McCowan average?

Across the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Luke McCowan is averaging 0.72 shots on target and 2.87 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Luke McCowan get booked?

Luke McCowan is averaging 0.36 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Luke McCowan commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Luke McCowan commits 1.79 fouls per 90 and wins 0.36 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luke McCowan?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Luke McCowan plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.