What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 8 games
Compared with a Scottish Premiership midfielder, 25/26, 2,179 appearances
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In 26/27, Luke Thomas has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 8 Scottish Premiership appearances (1 of 8), 1+ total shot in 38%, 1+ foul committed in 38%, 1+ foul won in 62%, and been booked in 12% (1 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 8 games Luke Thomas featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Heart of Midlothian10 Oct | 45 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Dundee United19 Sep | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Rangers9 Sep | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Celtic5 Sep | 21 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Kilmarnock2 Sep | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Motherwell30 Aug | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| St. Johnstone8 Aug | 26 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Falkirk FC1 Aug | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Frequently asked
How often does Luke Thomas have a shot on target?
In 26/27, Luke Thomas has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 8 Scottish Premiership appearances (1 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Luke Thomas average?
Across 8 Scottish Premiership appearances in 26/27, Luke Thomas is averaging 0.47 shots on target and 1.89 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Luke Thomas get booked?
Luke Thomas is averaging 0.47 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Luke Thomas commit or win more fouls?
This season Luke Thomas commits 1.89 fouls per 90 and wins 2.37 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luke Thomas?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Luke Thomas plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.