Luke Thomas
In 25/26, Luke Thomas has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 43 Championship appearances (5 of 43), 1+ total shot in 42%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 58%, and been booked in 26% (11 of 43). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Luke Thomas featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Blackburn Rovers2 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Millwall24 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Hull City21 Apr | 90 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| @ Portsmouth18 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Swansea City11 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| @ Sheffield Wednesday6 Apr | 90 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Preston North End3 Apr | 90 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Watford21 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Queens Park Rangers14 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Bristol City10 Mar | 90 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 8 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Luke Thomas have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Luke Thomas has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 43 Championship appearances (5 of 43). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Luke Thomas average?
Across 43 Championship appearances in 25/26, Luke Thomas is averaging 0.13 shots on target and 0.66 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Luke Thomas get booked?
Luke Thomas is averaging 0.28 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Luke Thomas commit or win more fouls?
This season Luke Thomas commits 1.29 fouls per 90 and wins 0.99 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luke Thomas?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Luke Thomas plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.