What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Scottish Premiership defender, 25/26, 2,407 appearances
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Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Maik Nawrocki has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Maik Nawrocki featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Aberdeen14 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Heart of Midlothian29 Mar | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Rangers16 Mar | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| St. Mirren18 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| St. Mirren13 Apr | 64 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Motherwell25 Feb | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Hibernian7 Feb | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Aberdeen3 Feb | 77 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Ross County27 Jan | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ St. Mirren2 Jan | 63 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Scottish Premiership officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Scottish Premiership referees
Frequently asked
How often does Maik Nawrocki have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Maik Nawrocki has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Maik Nawrocki average?
Across the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Maik Nawrocki is averaging 0.40 shots on target and 0.67 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Maik Nawrocki get booked?
Maik Nawrocki is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Maik Nawrocki commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Maik Nawrocki commits 0.80 fouls per 90 and wins 0.40 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Maik Nawrocki?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Maik Nawrocki plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.