Paulo Bernardo
Midfielder CelticScottish Premiership 25/26
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Scottish Premiership midfielder, 25/26, 2,179 appearances
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Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Paulo Bernardo has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Paulo Bernardo in Scottish Premiership, 25/26 — drawn from 9 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paulo BernardoCeltic | 8 | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Connor BarronMiddlesbrough | 27 | 1.07 | 1.79 |
| Mohammed DiomandeRangers | 31 | 1.77 | 1.51 |
| Reo HatateBurnley | 30 | 1.61 | 1.19 |
| Scott ArfieldFalkirk FC | 23 | 1.95 | 1.19 |
| Arne EngelsWest Ham United | 30 | 1.39 | 2.19 |
| These 5, combined | 1.52 | 1.64 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Paulo Bernardo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motherwell14 Mar | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Motherwell30 Dec | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Livingston27 Dec | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Dundee United17 Dec | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Dundee FC3 Dec | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Hibernian30 Nov | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hibernian27 Sep | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Livingston23 Aug | 58 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| St. Mirren17 May | 54 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Aberdeen14 May | 90 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Scottish Premiership officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Scottish Premiership referees
Frequently asked
How often does Paulo Bernardo have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Paulo Bernardo has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Paulo Bernardo average?
Across the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Paulo Bernardo is averaging 0.49 shots on target and 1.70 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Paulo Bernardo get booked?
Paulo Bernardo is averaging 0.24 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Paulo Bernardo commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Paulo Bernardo commits 1.22 fouls per 90 and wins 1.22 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Paulo Bernardo?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Paulo Bernardo plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.