What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Scottish Premiership defender, 25/26, 2,407 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 241 selections across 65 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Stephen Welsh has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Stephen Welsh in Scottish Premiership, 25/26 — drawn from 7 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen WelshMotherwell | 28 | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| Auston TrustyCeltic | 26 | 0.50 | 0.71 |
| John SouttarRangers | 24 | 0.58 | 0.85 |
| Nasser DjigaWolverhampton | 25 | 0.37 | 0.74 |
| Liam ScalesCeltic | 37 | 0.38 | 1.16 |
| Cameron Carter-VickersCeltic | 7 | 0.57 | 1.29 |
| These 5, combined | 0.46 | 0.92 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Stephen Welsh featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Hibernian16 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Heart of Midlothian9 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Falkirk FC2 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Rangers26 Apr | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Heart of Midlothian11 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Falkirk FC4 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Hibernian21 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Dundee FC7 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Dundee United28 Feb | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ St. Mirren21 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Scottish Premiership officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Scottish Premiership referees
Frequently asked
How often does Stephen Welsh have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Stephen Welsh has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Stephen Welsh average?
Across the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Stephen Welsh is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.31 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Stephen Welsh get booked?
Stephen Welsh is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Stephen Welsh commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Stephen Welsh commits 0.31 fouls per 90 and wins 0.83 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Stephen Welsh?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Stephen Welsh plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.