What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Scottish Premiership defender, 25/26, 2,407 appearances
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In 26/27, Liam Henderson has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 8 Scottish Premiership appearances (1 of 8), 1+ total shot in 62%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 25%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Liam Henderson featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee FC10 Oct | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ St. Johnstone19 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Heart of Midlothian15 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Dundee United5 Sep | 57 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Rangers2 Sep | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Celtic29 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Motherwell9 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| St. Mirren1 Aug | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Rangers16 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Heart of Midlothian13 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Scottish Premiership officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Scottish Premiership referees
Frequently asked
How often does Liam Henderson have a shot on target?
In 26/27, Liam Henderson has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 8 Scottish Premiership appearances (1 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Liam Henderson average?
Across 8 Scottish Premiership appearances in 26/27, Liam Henderson is averaging 0.13 shots on target and 0.66 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Liam Henderson get booked?
Liam Henderson is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Liam Henderson commit or win more fouls?
This season Liam Henderson commits 0.66 fouls per 90 and wins 0.39 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Liam Henderson?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Liam Henderson plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.