What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Scottish Premiership midfielder, 25/26, 2,179 appearances
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Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Thelo Aasgaard has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Thelo Aasgaard in Scottish Premiership, 25/26 — drawn from 8 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thelo AasgaardRangers | 33 | 2.56 | 1.23 |
| Benjamin NygrenCeltic | 38 | 3.25 | 1.24 |
| Mohammed DiomandeRangers | 31 | 1.77 | 1.51 |
| Nicolas RaskinRangers | 33 | 1.58 | 2.10 |
| Reo HatateBurnley | 30 | 1.61 | 1.19 |
| Scott ArfieldFalkirk FC | 23 | 1.95 | 1.19 |
| These 5, combined | 2.10 | 1.52 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Thelo Aasgaard featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hibernian9 Aug | 22 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Dundee United31 Jul | 90 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Falkirk FC16 May | 80 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Hibernian13 May | 80 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Celtic10 May | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Heart of Midlothian4 May | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Motherwell26 Apr | 86 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Falkirk FC12 Apr | 77 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Dundee United4 Apr | 74 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Aberdeen21 Mar | 73 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Scottish Premiership officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Scottish Premiership referees
Frequently asked
How often does Thelo Aasgaard have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Thelo Aasgaard has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Thelo Aasgaard average?
Across the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Thelo Aasgaard is averaging 1.29 shots on target and 3.44 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Thelo Aasgaard get booked?
Thelo Aasgaard is averaging 0.14 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Thelo Aasgaard commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Thelo Aasgaard commits 1.00 fouls per 90 and wins 1.58 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Thelo Aasgaard?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Thelo Aasgaard plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.