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Scottish Premiership 25/26
TO

Topi Keskinen

Midfielder AberdeenScottish Premiership 25/26

Next match
Aberdeen vs St. Mirren›
Sat 17 Oct
Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Scottish Premiership midfielder, 25/26, 2,179 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.60 per 90
10%
1 of 100.5×
Total shots2.11 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Fouls won0.60 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
Fouls committed2.11 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
Tackles1.51 per 90
40%
4 of 100.7×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.60 per 90
20%
2 of 101.3×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.30 per 90
10%
1 of 101.6×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Topi Keskinen has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Topi Keskinen featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Dundee FC17 May 69 0 1 1 0 2 0
St. Mirren12 May 22 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ Livingston1 May 16 0 0 2 0 0 1
Kilmarnock25 Apr 8 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hibernian11 Apr 19 2 2 0 0 0 0
@ St. Mirren4 Apr 45 0 0 1 1 1 0
@ Rangers21 Mar 23 0 1 1 1 0 1
Celtic4 Mar 11 0 1 1 0 1 0
@ Heart of Midlothian28 Feb 45 0 1 0 0 0 0
Dundee FC21 Feb 41 0 0 1 0 1 0
Officials on record
David Dickinson 8 games Topi Keskinen booked in 3 4.52cards/game 1.12×vs league
Steven McLean 8 games Topi Keskinen booked in 1 3.38cards/game 0.84×vs league
John Beaton 8 games Topi Keskinen never booked 4.15cards/game 1.03×vs league
Nick Walsh 7 games Topi Keskinen never booked 4.28cards/game 1.06×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Scottish Premiership officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Scottish Premiership referees

Frequently asked

How often does Topi Keskinen have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Topi Keskinen has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Topi Keskinen average?

Across the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Topi Keskinen is averaging 0.60 shots on target and 2.11 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Topi Keskinen get booked?

Topi Keskinen is averaging 0.60 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Topi Keskinen commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Topi Keskinen commits 2.11 fouls per 90 and wins 0.60 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Topi Keskinen?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Topi Keskinen plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.