Serie A · 25/26

Hellas Verona v Parma

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Hellas Verona1 – 2 Parma 23 Nov 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Daniel Mosquera	shots total	1+	98%	1	✓
Patrick Cutrone	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Gift Orban	shots total	1+	94%	3	✓
Giovane	shots total	1+	94%	3	✓
Daniel Mosquera	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Mateo Pellegrino	shots total	1+	86%	6	✓
Jean Daniel Akpa-Akpro	fouls committed	1+	85%	2	✓
Adrián Bernabé	shots total	1+	84%	2	✓
Mateo Pellegrino	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Amin Sarr	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗
Antoine Bernede	fouls committed	1+	81%	5	✓
Amin Sarr	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗
Mateo Pellegrino	fouls drawn	1+	80%	5	✓
Roberto Gagliardini	fouls committed	1+	78%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	47%	7 cards	✓
Btts	Yes	46%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	39%	3 goals	✓

Dig deeper

Hellas Verona & Parma player stats→ Hellas Verona players & stats→ Parma players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works