Serie A · 25/26

Parma v Hellas Verona

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Parma2 – 1 Hellas Verona 15 Feb 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Mateo Pellegrino	shots total	1+	94%	4	✓
Jacob Ondrejka	shots total	1+	93%	5	✓
Kieron Bowie	shots total	1+	93%	0	✗
Gaetano Oristanio	shots total	1+	93%	2	✓
Abdou Harroui	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Jean Daniel Akpa-Akpro	fouls committed	1+	86%	2	✓
Amin Sarr	fouls committed	1+	85%	1	✓
Gabriel Strefezza	fouls drawn	1+	82%	1	✓
Mandela Keita	fouls drawn	1+	82%	2	✓
Gabriel Strefezza	shots total	1+	81%	3	✓
Adrián Bernabé	shots total	1+	81%	5	✓
Amin Sarr	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗
Mateo Pellegrino	fouls drawn	1+	80%	0	✗
Gaetano Oristanio	fouls drawn	1+	80%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	44%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	42%	4 cards	✗
Match goals	O2.5	36%	3 goals	✓

Dig deeper

Parma & Hellas Verona player stats→ Parma players & stats→ Hellas Verona players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works