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Serie A 24/25
KE

Keita Baldé

Striker 100% of 8 recent starts MonzaSerie A 24/25

Next match
Monza at Lazio›
Sun 11 OctReferee Giuseppe Collu

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 11 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.72 per 90
50%
5 of 101.3×
Total shots2.00 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
Fouls won3.00 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 101.8×
Fouls committed0.86 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
Tackles0.14 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
10%
1 of 101.1×
Cards0.29 per 90
20%
2 of 102.7×
Goals0.29 per 90
20%
2 of 101.2×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Keita Baldé has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 100%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Keita Baldé featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ AC Milan24 May 79 1 2 0 2 0 0
Empoli18 May 71 1 1 0 1 0 0
@ Udinese11 May 25 1 1 0 1 0 1
@ Venezia12 Apr 26 0 0 0 2 0 0
Como5 Apr 90 1 1 1 3 0 0
@ Cagliari30 Mar 74 0 1 3 1 0 1
Parma15 Mar 90 0 3 0 4 0 0
@ Inter8 Mar 76 1 3 1 1 0 0
Torino2 Mar 76 0 2 1 4 1 0
@ AS Roma24 Feb 22 0 0 0 2 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Keita Baldé have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Keita Baldé has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Keita Baldé average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Keita Baldé is averaging 0.72 shots on target and 2.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Keita Baldé get booked?

Keita Baldé is averaging 0.29 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Keita Baldé commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Keita Baldé commits 0.86 fouls per 90 and wins 3.00 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Keita Baldé?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Keita Baldé plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.