Mattia Caldara
Over his last 10 Serie A games, Mattia Caldara has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, and 1+ foul won in 30%. He has been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Mattia Caldara featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salernitana25 May | 32 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sampdoria22 Apr | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Salernitana2 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sassuolo17 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Inter10 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Udinese26 Feb | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Juventus19 Feb | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SSC Napoli5 Feb | 76 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Bologna27 Jan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| AS Roma22 Jan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Frequently asked
How often does Mattia Caldara have a shot on target?
Over his last 10 Serie A games, Mattia Caldara has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Mattia Caldara average?
Across his last 10 Serie A games, Mattia Caldara is averaging 0.31 shots on target and 0.62 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Mattia Caldara get booked?
Mattia Caldara is averaging 0.47 cards per 90 over his last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Mattia Caldara commit or win more fouls?
Over his last 10 games Mattia Caldara commits 0.93 fouls per 90 and wins 0.47 — more than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mattia Caldara?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Mattia Caldara plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.