Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Serie A 25/26
MI

Milan Đurić

Striker 100% of 29 recent starts CremoneseSerie A 25/26

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.97 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
Total shots2.18 per 90
50%
5 of 100.7×
Fouls won1.70 per 90
40%
4 of 100.7×
Fouls committed0.97 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Tackles0.24 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.24 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.24 per 90
10%
1 of 101.7×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Milan Đurić has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Milan Đurić in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 62 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Milan ĐurićParma 232.73 1.09
Adam BuksaUdinese 251.17 2.33
Jeff EkhatorJuventus 301.90 1.90
Gennaro BorrelliCagliari 272.12 3.11
VitinhaGenoa 352.60 1.36
Álvaro MorataComo 262.22 1.55
These 5, combined 2.13 1.96

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Milan Đurić featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Udinese17 May 8 0 0 1 0 0 0
Torino19 Apr 13 1 1 0 0 0 0
@ Cagliari11 Apr 12 0 0 0 0 0 0
Bologna5 Apr 45 0 0 0 2 0 0
Fiorentina16 Mar 90 0 3 0 3 0 0
@ Lecce8 Mar 45 1 1 2 0 0 1
AC Milan1 Mar 24 0 0 1 1 0 0
@ AS Roma22 Feb 16 0 0 0 0 0 0
Genoa15 Feb 73 1 3 0 1 1 0
@ Atalanta9 Feb 45 1 1 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Federico La Penna 8 games Milan Đurić booked in 1 4.32cards/game 1.03×vs league
Marco Di Bello 7 games Milan Đurić booked in 1 3.63cards/game 0.87×vs league
Daniele Doveri 7 games Milan Đurić never booked 3.34cards/game 0.80×vs league
Michael Fabbri 7 games Milan Đurić never booked 4.29cards/game 1.02×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 14 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Milan Đurić have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Milan Đurić has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Milan Đurić average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Milan Đurić is averaging 0.97 shots on target and 2.18 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Milan Đurić get booked?

Milan Đurić is averaging 0.24 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Milan Đurić commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Milan Đurić commits 0.97 fouls per 90 and wins 1.70 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Milan Đurić?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Milan Đurić plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.